Kaspa price has been showing signs of exploding again, but it has not just happened the way many expected. The token is still trading far below its all-time high. In addressing when KAS might eventually blow up, an analyst from the Crypto MindSet YouTube channel posted a detailed 12-minute breakdown exploring the technical levels and market cycles that could drive Kaspa higher.
According to the analyst, Kaspa is still trapped under a long-term downtrend. That is the first barrier. Unless KAS breaks and holds above this key resistance line, there is no reason to expect an immediate price rally. The second critical level is the 200 EMA, which the price is currently attempting to break above. But that alone is not enough. What traders really want to see, he says, is the 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day. This technical setup, known as a golden cross, often marks the beginning of major bull runs in crypto.
The Two Technical Conditions That Must Be Met
The Crypto MindSet analyst made it clear that for any real fireworks in the Kaspa price, two things must happen. First, KAS needs to close above its current downtrend and hold. This is the technical breakout moment that could reset the trend. Second, a golden cross must appear, meaning the 50-day moving average climbs above the 200-day.
Even if both happen, the analyst warned that the price will likely struggle against heavy resistance from earlier buyers waiting to sell. That means Kaspa probably will not move in a straight line upward. Instead, the price might pump, then retrace, and only break out fully after a few attempts. In his words, Kaspa will not go bananas until this setup is confirmed with volume.
The Real Trigger for a KAS Price Explosion
Beyond technical levels, the analyst explained the true trigger that could send Kaspa price into a parabolic run. He pointed to the KAS to Bitcoin chart and stressed that unless this ratio breaks out above key levels, namely the 200 and 50 EMAs and a past swing high from April or May, KAS will not outperform Bitcoin.
That is a critical point. For KAS to truly explode in price, it must not only rise but outperform BTC. Otherwise, investors have little reason to rotate capital into it. According to the video, a bullish KAS to BTC breakout is the clearest trigger event that could flip sentiment and launch Kaspa into its next rally.
One of the biggest insights from the Crypto MindSet analyst is that KAS is a mid cap coin trying to move during a large cap season. Right now, liquidity in the crypto market is favoring coins like Ethereum and XRP, which have already made strong gains. He even cited how XRP recently delivered a 55% move for his VIP community, while KAS has been underperforming.
This rotation of capital, first to Bitcoin, then Ethereum, then larger altcoins, follows a seasonal pattern. Kaspa may get its moment, but not while the current narrative is all about pumping the big names. The analyst said it bluntly. The whale money is not flowing into Kaspa right now.
Short Term Frustration, Long Term Potential
Despite his criticism of KAS holders who are too emotionally attached, the analyst made it clear that he still believes in Kaspa as a project. He described it as solid, well developed, and one of the best projects out there. But he also warned that a great project does not always equal a great trade at any moment.
Kaspa’s fundamentals may be strong, but until the market narrative rotates back to mid caps, price action will remain limited. He speculated that delays in smart contract updates or insider selling might be holding the coin back. Still, he expects that eventually Kaspa will break out and deliver strong returns, but only once the setup is right.
The Analyst’s Strategy Is to Wait and Rotate
For now, the Crypto MindSet analyst is not recommending large exposure to Kaspa. His strategy is to accumulate fiat or profits from large caps like Ethereum or XRP, then rotate into Kaspa once the breakout occurs. In his words, go in with $200,000 instead of $100,000 when Kaspa is actually ready.
That strategy is all about patience. He encouraged traders to watch for the breakout, monitor the KAS to BTC chart, and only commit serious capital once all signs are aligned. Until then, he says, it is better to rotate capital into more profitable setups.
Read Also: 3 Reasons Stellar (XLM) Price Is Expected to Skyrocket This Cycle
Kaspa price is not exploding yet, but that does not mean it will not. According to the Crypto MindSet channel, the conditions for a KAS rally are clear, but they have not been met. Investors need to wait for a trendline break, a golden cross, and a bullish KAS to BTC setup. Only then will Kaspa be ready to move with the market rather than lag behind it.
For now, traders are better off staying nimble, focusing on large cap altcoins, and preparing for the moment Kaspa finally breaks out. As the analyst put it, there is order in the chaos, and when KAS finally gets its moment, it could be explosive.
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