Gold prices surged to their highest level in nearly two months on Friday, lifted by heightened geopolitical tensions following Israeli airstrikes on Iran. The escalation in the Middle East conflict spurred demand for traditional safe-haven assets, putting bullion on track for a weekly gain.
Gold futures gained nearly 1% to $3,435.20 per ounce at the time of writing, while the spot gold price advanced 2% to $3,414.79 per ounce.
“The geopolitical escalation adds another layer of uncertainty to already fragile sentiment,” said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo.
Read more: FTSE 100 LIVE: Stocks drop and oil prices soars as Israel strikes Iran in major escalation
The Israeli government declared a state of emergency, warning of imminent missile and drone attacks from Iran. Meanwhile, the US military is reportedly preparing for a range of scenarios, including potential evacuations of American civilians from the region, a US official told Reuters.
“This latest spike in hostilities in the Middle East has taken the focus off trade negotiations for now, with investors making a play towards safe-haven assets in response,” said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.
“Gold surged past resistance around $3,400 on news of the airstrikes, and further upside could be in-store should the escalation continue,” he added.
The rally in gold has been further underpinned by growing expectations of monetary policy easing in the US. Recent data showing elevated jobless claims and muted producer price inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates, making non-yielding assets such as gold more attractive to investors.
Oil prices rose at the fastest pace in over three years on Friday amid concerns that Israeli military strikes on Iran could trigger a wider conflict in the Middle East, threatening global energy supplies and stoking inflation.
Brent crude futures (BZ=F) climbed 5% to $71.92 a barrel, at the time of writing, while West Texas Intermediate futures (CL=F) rose by the same margin to $71.44 a barrel.
The market reaction reflects growing unease that a broader confrontation could disrupt flows through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital maritime chokepoint through which roughly a fifth of global oil supply is transported. While Iran exports around 1.6 million barrels of oil per day, any move to block or restrict traffic through the strait could have far-reaching consequences for global energy markets.
Warren Patterson, an analyst at ING (ING), said: “We are back in an environment of heightened geopolitical uncertainty, leaving the oil market on tenterhooks and requiring it to start pricing in a larger risk premium for any potential supply disruptions.”
