Despite the SEC officially dropping its case against Ripple, XRP’s price remains flat, trading around $2.40. The token has yet to break above the $2.45 resistance level, showing limited reaction to what many considered a landmark development. While legal clarity has arrived, market sentiment appears cautious.
Trading volume is up 16.63% in the past 24 hours, indicating growing interest, but the price dropped 1.38%, signaling uncertainty. Meanwhile, growing speculation around an XRP-focused ETF and Ripple’s potential role in Elon Musk’s X Payments platform has driven renewed community discussions.
Given these conditions, we asked ChatGPT to model three possible scenarios for XRP’s price if the Ripple ETF gets approved.
Pessimistic Scenario for XRP Price
If the ETF is approved during a weak market phase, or if institutional interest is limited, XRP price could face challenges maintaining momentum. A lack of follow-through buying and underwhelming macro sentiment might push the token into consolidation.
Under this scenario, XRP may struggle to retest its 2018 all-time high of $3.84. Instead, it could stall near the $3.50 level. A stagnant Bitcoin or a broader market correction could trigger altcoin sell-offs, keeping XRP gains short-lived.
Realistic Scenario for XRP Price
If Ripple’s ETF is approved in a moderately bullish environment, XRP could benefit from increased liquidity and institutional exposure. A return of confidence following the SEC resolution and strategic partnerships may help the token gain steady ground.
In this case, XRP price may break through its multi-year resistance and target a range between $5.00 and $6.00. Analysts suggest the legal clarity, combined with Ripple’s established cross-border payment infrastructure, could strengthen its long-term investment case.
Optimistic Scenario for XRP Price
Should the ETF trigger large-scale inflows and speculation about integration with X Payments materialize, XRP could enter a parabolic move. This scenario includes broader crypto market strength, increased adoption, and heightened institutional demand.
XRP’s price could then rise above $10.00, pushing its market cap over $500 billion. Though there’s no official confirmation, tweets from influencers have fueled speculation about major investments and federal interest in the token.
Odds of ETF Approval Are Rising
According to Polymarket, a prediction market platform tracking real-time event odds, there is an 87% chance that Ripple’s ETF will be approved in 2025. The platform is widely followed for its accurate forecasting across politics, finance, and technology.
Traders and analysts are closely monitoring XRP’s response to ETF-related developments. A final decision could influence not just XRP’s price direction but also sentiment across the broader altcoin market.
Read Also: Here’s Why Movement (MOVE) Price Is Pumping
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