The crypto market remains on edge amid escalating global tensions, particularly due to increased tariffs from China, which have effectively halted trade between the U.S. and China.
Despite this geopolitical backdrop, traditional equity markets like the S&P 500 have shown unexpected stability, suggesting that risk sentiment remains cautiously neutral for now.
However, market indicators such as the volatility index (VIX) and U.S. bonds suggest underlying risk remains high, keeping investors alert for any potential developments in the U.S.-China trade narrative that could sway markets significantly.
Bitcoin, while navigating a volatile environment, has shown resilience by reclaiming key technical levels around the $80,000 range. Although the volume has decreased compared to the previous week and leverage appears high, the coin remains technically bullish as long as it holds support above $80,700.
XRP, on the other hand, has potential to reach $4 hinges on a combination of technical patterns, market sentiment, and broader financial conditions.
Source – Austin Hilton on YouTube
XRP Price Prediction
Currently trading around $2, $XRP is forming a classic falling wedge pattern—a historically bullish signal. This pattern is defined by two converging downward-sloping lines, which suggest tightening price action that often precedes a breakout.
According to the analysis, XRP is transitioning from a phase of market boredom into a grinding phase, marked by tighter consolidations and repeated tests of lower support levels. This evolution indicates growing pressure within the wedge, typically leading to an upward price movement.
The pattern itself began forming in January 2025, following a retraction from a previous high of $3.40. Since then, XRP has been moving within a narrow range.
However, a breakout occurred recently, with XRP surging 13–14% in just a few days—suggesting the early signs of bullish momentum. This move adds credence to the idea that the groundwork for a $4 target is being established.
Conclusion
Despite the technical optimism, XRP’s rise to $4 is not expected to happen in isolation. A rally of this scale would need fresh capital inflows and greater institutional participation.
It would also depend on resolving macroeconomic challenges, including trade tensions, U.S.–China relations, and regulatory uncertainties. These external factors must align to create the kind of bullish sentiment needed to propel XRP to new highs.
While immediate movement to $4 is unlikely, the presence of the falling wedge and recent trading activity suggests that investors should be alert. The broader financial markets, especially global stocks and crypto, need to recover and regain investor confidence before $XRP can sustainably surpass its ATH.
Nonetheless, this setup is a positive sign for long-term holders and those looking for significant upside, as it reinforces the possibility of a bullish reversal once market conditions become more favorable.
